Gritty Questions on the Historic Collapse: Part II Editor: Thus far the US dollar’s decline has been orderly, but more and more countries are opting to conduct global trade in currencies other than the dollar and this trend looks certain to continue. Over time this will reduce the need for countries such as China and Japan to hold US Treasury’s, and outside of the Federal Reserve these are the two largest holders of US dollar-denominated debt. Ultimately it is this that will bring about the end of the dollar’s domination.


The Yuan Swap practice has created a broad platform and precedent for non-US$ trade. The list of nations with such swap deals include Brazil, Australia, Russia, Japan, South Korea, Belarus, Malaysia, and Indonesia. Add England to the long and growing list of nations making bilateral currency agreements with China, which should instill fear in New York. The swaps have established a virtual barter system that is divorced from the banking settlement for trade. Instead, a bilateral account is set up with credits and debits, depending upon delivery and receipt. Regard the swap system as a foundation for global trade settlement in Gold, as the Chinese Yuan makes the rough transition to a gold-backed currency. In the Jackass view, the shift to a gold trade settlement system will coincide with the gradual Yuan currency backed by gold. They will become interchangeable when procuring Gold Trade Notes, my theory, all in time. The Chinese Yuan Swap Facility has undermined the USDollar dominant role in trade. Following trade practices will come bank reserve management practices, which means the removal of the USTreasury Bond from global banking. The numerous Yuan Swap Facilities have essentially worked to dethrone the USDollar as global reserve currency.


Actually three pieces. The absent usage of the USDollar itself, and the bypass of the Western banking system with its community of SWIFT members, and the sidestepping of the FOREX currency market. If trade is to be settled in Gold, or using vehicles such as the Gold Trade Note, then the USDollar, the big Western banks, the SWIFT codes, and the FOREX are all rendered suddenly obsolete. The banks must adapt to become utility firms. A few gold-backed currencies might spring up with unique distinctions. The gold trade finance concept ushers in a new alternative system long sought in order to create a more viable equitable sustainable financial structure. The banking system should serve trade, not the reverse. Hence the USTBond will slowly vanish from the global banking system, and the USDollar will lose its global reserve status. The end result is a unavoidable slide by the United States into the Third World.


Whatever nations begin to dominate as intermediary functions for gold trade as it serves trade settlement between nations, they will grow into the next financial centers. The current attention is on Turkey and India. The Ankara banks are under scrutiny. New attempted controls by the USGovt have been announced by the pretender lords, under the guise of consequence for aiding trade with Iran. The US efforts will not succeed in stopping the progress in gold intermediary development. The Near East has a long history, much longer than the American history. Iran has numerous trade partners, and an extensive system of intermediaries that include the United Arab Emirates, which is undergoing a transformation. Iran’s partners include Turkey, India, China, Japan, and South Korea. These are major nations which will refuse to comply with pressured US tactics. The emergence of alternative trade payment methods in order to keep Iran moving will create the next financial centers. They will be centered upon Gold flows, Gold management, Gold purchases as intermediary, Gold in payments, as well as Gold in smuggling. The recent decision to relax Gold rules within India, to permit corporations to form banks, to ease the pathways for integrating the vast household gold wealth in India, will work to thrust India as a potential gold finance center. Both Turkey and India will realize a benefit in economic growth, which has been nonexistent in the last five years under the fiat paper currency regimes that fast approaches the dust bin. The Near East is a logical center for gold finance, since it links the East with the West in a natural intermediary role. They have been developing the non-standard currencies that have served for five thousand years, namely Gold, Silver, and Platinum. By pushing Gold into the periphery, the financial centers of the West have pushed themselves into an awkward position where they will fall off the stage. In doing so, they have promoted new centers to crop up and mushroom in growth.


Hong Kong for a number of reasons will remain the safest place for Gold storage. It has a long history of professionalism, independence, and integrity. Following the independence in 1997, the city state nation has pursued a unique role and direction. It is under the Chinese wing, but has its own regional charter toward continuity and some measure of autonomy. The Mainland China rulers prefer to use Hong Kong as a port to the West, but also to copy it internally. The British roots helped to establish HK bankers as top notch, but they are no longer subservient to London whims. The HK banking hub is the foremost in all of Asia, with a new rival Shanghai having emerged. The HK airport has greatly expanded its vaulted services. My source indicates that the HK vault service capacity is three to five times greater than reported. It has associations with all the major vault firms in an impressive list. Their integrity is as great as their disdain for the US bankers, with whom they show zero cooperation, as confirmed by an Interpol source. The claimed advantages of Singapore are spurious and illusory. Don’t bother, since it does not even have a Depository Bond agreement for the bullion vault firms.


Several serious flaws and shortcomings to mining stocks exist. The big hedge funds short them heavily with Wall Street help like credit lines. Other hedge funds short the smaller mining stocks and go long the majors, a spread trade. The majors are working with Wall Street on hedged forward sale programs, a grand collusion. The Goldman Sachs GDX fund shorts the entire group, just to keep them suppressed. The brokerage house Canaccord is involved in naked shorting of mining stocks. After acting as partner to raise cash in a very large number of finance deals for Canadian junior mining firms, they keep selling shares with the collusion of the Alpha Group, far more than they own. The mining firms themselves are in deep trouble, with rising costs, a shortage of engineers, hostile foreign governments, and difficult projects. The mining firms are printing new shares in heavy dilution (like the USGovt on USDollars), which is inflation. Under pressure, the mining firms will soon begin to renege on their covenants, as some will be forced to sell their properties to the banks. Eventually the USGovt and other Western governments might force sale of mining companies for pathetic low prices under law in order to replenish their Gold reserves in the central banks. The recent extreme challenges for the mining firms relates to hostile labor unions and resource nationalism that prompts confiscations. Distress for mining firms will result in continually lower metal output, resulting in supply shortages which favor owners of physical metal, not the mining stocks. The global assault on paper wealth includes mining stocks. The Gold & Silver metal prices have vastly outperformed mining stocks since 2008, when the Hat Trick Letter subscribers were urged to dump the paper and to buy the metal. Expect the trend to persist.


The JPMorgan war room controls the Interest Rate Swap derivative machinery. The contract is a complex device that matches short-term spreads versus long-term spreads in order to fabricate fresh USTreasury Bond demand for the long maturities. In essence the IRSwap creates artificial demand for USTBonds, and thus creates the illusion of a flight to safety in the USGovt sovereign debt securities. Since 2011, the buyers for the USTBonds have largely been confined to the US Federal Reserve. Since 2011, the supply of USGovt debt sold in securitized bonds has remained at a frenetic $1.0 to $1.3 trillion pace. With huge supply and almost no buyers, the bond yield should have zoomed higher than bonds from Spain and Italy, maybe even Greece. But instead, thanks to the JPMorgan derivative room, the vast USTBond tower is maintained from a brisk demand of totally artificial type from flying IRSwap buttresses. They will all experience seizures. The USTBond yield might be zero when the USGovt debt default occurs. The Weimar replicas of fake toxic money will not halt until the end.


No, low interest rates smother the USEconomy for several reasons. They also create conditions for the banks to convert into speculative houses even more than a decade ago. They are playing the USTBond carry trade, borrowing cheap short-term money and investing in long-term bonds. They cannot earn much profit with low rates in the commercial sector. But the important negatives for low rates work to dampen commercial activity. To begin with, the vast armada of savers, the retirees holding CDs from banks, and the big pension funds, all earn very little on their capital. It is unjust and a perversion. Twice as much savings earn interest as consumer loans pay interest, a net negative that Wall Street harlots prefer to ignore in their promotional harangues to shrinking audiences. The banking sector is suffering for many reasons, one of which is the poor income on their bond portfolios. As much as the mavens and official barkers recite the benefits of low rates and its stimulus, the exact opposite is the case. Worse, the low rates signify low value for capital. They therefore distort the financial markets on valuation of a broad assortment of assets. But the worst effect that renders deep damage to the USEconomy from low interest rates is the encouraged diversion of assets toward investment in commodities in defense, as a hedge for inflation. The migration toward commodities lifts the entire cost structure, and reduces the profit margins for business. The effect is deadly as it forces capital in the form of equipment and machinery into retirement. Business segments shut down. The low rate environment kills capital, reduces the capital base, and smothers the USEconomy. Not one in ten economists comprehends this basic point.


Because the USGovt has no jurisdiction over foreign nations and international contracts. Although the USDollar is widely used in foreign commerce, the USGovt cannot dictate changes and important alterations to past contracts in place. About five years ago, a plan was afoot to replace the USDollar with a newer better version. But all efforts hit an obstacle since the USGovt has no jurisdiction to alter past contracts that involve the USDollar within them. To be sure, the USGovt can control flows of money as a grand gatekeeper and toll taker, but it cannot dictate over external contracts. As the global financial and monetary collapse has continued, the United States has found itself unable to extricate itself from the tightening noose around its own neck. In time, the USDollar will experience a global shun, at which time great new problems will befall the nation.


The USDollar will not be reformed replaced or repaired by bankers, since they are too committed and entrenched in fraud and corruption. The USDollar will be eliminated in a series of steps that begins with its isolation. The movement toward trade settlement outside the USDollar, not necessarily in Gold, works to isolate the USDollar turned toxic. Once isolated, the many nations not so firmly aligned to the West will thrive, while the Western core nations continue to crumble and collapse. When the USDollar is no longer in favor in a majority of trade settlement, it will begin to see wholesale dumping of the USTBond as a reserve asset. Then the US-led axis of fascism will be revealed in the United Kingdom, Canada, and most of Western Europe. They will continue to use the USDollar in both trade and banking, but they will ingest toxic paper during their continued unabated collapse. As the stage shrinks and the lights dim, the USDollar will be dealt with by the USGovt itself in brutal fashion. The US will devalue its own currency to survive, just like Third World nations.


Nations around the world are locked into policies to debase their currencies in a series of competitive devaluations in order to protect their export trades. A lower domestic currency exchange rate protects the trade by keeping the prices down for their exported products. Other nations are affected as they lose trade to the competitor which devalues. Actually all nations lose, since global trade shrinks in aggregate. The USDollar is artificially propped as a result. But pain comes from the devaluations since they increase import costs like crude oil, such as in the case in Japan. Also, nasty effects occur like with Switzerland, whose central bank collected a pile of Japanese Govt Bonds in a diversification program. In competing currency wars, everybody loses in a race to the bottom. Nations are slowly coming to the realization that if they simultaneously rid themselves of the entire batch of fiat paper currencies, and adopt a gold trade finance system, even if they suffer a writedown of USTBonds in the process, they will be better off with a future, after being freed from the toxic tentacles. The USDollar and USTBond are agents of ruin during the ongoing unstoppable collapse of paper assets, paper wealth, and paper money. The next stop is the Gold Standard, which the participants in the currency war are gradually moving to adopt, as they follow the Chinese lead.


The global isolation and rejection of the USDollar will force the USEconomic participants to bid up the currency required for the many supply routes leading into the nation’s factories, offices, stores, and homes. The USDollar will be forced to bid up Chinese Yuan and Gold ultimately. They will be forced to bid for whatever currency is required for the assorted supplies like crude oil, metals, and foodstuffs, as well as for finished products like cars, hardware, home electronics, and clothing. The process will see some shocking events like 30% devaluations, just like seen in Venezuela. My estimate is that the USDollar will eventually see a 50% to 60% devaluation in total over the next few years. That will cut US personal wealth in half. That will open the door to 25% to 30% price inflation suddenly. The process will cause grand shortages, civil disorder, and perhaps chaos. Violence will erupt at the gasoline stations and food supermarkets. The USEconomy will lose its credit line, and become a credit risk. For decades, the USEconomy has been running up deficits, with no enforcement or discipline or controls, in essence shoving the debt paper on foreign nations in lieu of legitimate savings. They resent it. Foreigners will demand hard currency at a time when the USDollar loses its global reserve status and premier position. A sense of retribution will emerge. As the gold trade finance chapter opens, the USDollar severe devaluation will coincide.


The United States is the home of a vast syndicate that has been in firm control for decades, but only since 911 has it exerted stronger controls. In the process, much greater banker welfare has become the norm, as have tight reins to control the USCongress while integrating and enriching the military contractors, and more quietly the pharmaceutical giants with at times deadly vaccines. In order to maintain the charade of a national directive toward security, complete with all the earmarks of national socialism, the network news has been under very firm control. Dan Rather and Keith Olbermann can attest. Since the 1980 decade, the entire news conglomerates that include television, radio, newspapers, and journals has been subject to strict oversight by the USGovt security agencies. Since 911, the Homeland Security apparatus has exerted its controls. The ownership of the major network conglomerates is a short list, which in the 1970s consisted of 25 firms. Now it consists of a mere five firms. They have been totally woven into the security fold. A branch of Hollywood has also been grown from the security fold. The bias is evident in domestic political stories, international geopolitical stories, bank related stories, money related stories, economics stories, and financial market stories. The US citizens remain the worst informed people of any industrialized nation, and the most subjected to propaganda. The British are a close rival. The Goebbels methods are actively at work in propaganda widely disseminated.


Two flows of funds have kept the big US banks going. The first is the financial derivative trades that grew out of control in the 1990 decade and became vogue. They are totally unregulated, and therefore subject to grand fraud. For instance a big financial firm might have credit default swap contracts against its bond bust that total 200 times the value of the corporate bonds themselves. It like the entire neighborhood owning a fire insurance policy on a single home. To lite the home ablaze can be profitable for some participating investors. The banks have an extremely large volume of both credit default swaps and the more important interest rate swap contracts. In fact, JPMorgan owns $82 trillion in interest rate derivatives, which exceeds the size of the global economy. No regulation in oversight means the big US and London banks can rig the prices, even counterfeit some of the contracts held. Notice the LIBOR banker scandal that emerged in 2012 to shock the world. It will spread, not shrink, as all major financial markets are corrupted. The second very important source of funds is basic narcotics money laundering, the biggest beneficiaries being the New York banks. Few realize that JPMorgan runs the Iraqi Export Bank in Baghdad Iraq, which serves as the clearing house for Afghan narcotics. A ripe 85% of all heroin in the world comes from Afghanistan. Terrorists pale by comparison in importance in the war mission. The United Nations has issued several drug related finance reports that have identified the big US banks as primary centers for money laundering of narcotics funds. Some like Wachovia have pled guilty. In recent months, the Queen of England has been implicated, as have the Vatican bankers. Without the derivatives and money laundering, the big US banks would have folded and gone bust years ago.


The USFed has no Exit Strategy. It ran a blatantly obvious fake plan in 2009 that the Jackass dismissed immediately and correctly. The Zero Percent Interest Rate Policy will remain in place until the USGovt debt default occurs. Any rate hike would cause a balloon in USGovt borrowing costs and much greater deficits. Any rate hike would cause a sudden implosion of the entire derivative structure, the so-called nuclear event. Any rate hike would break the big US bank carry trade locked into USTBonds, and thus cause bond yields to rise twice as fast as the USFed could control them in a great unwind. Any rate hike would crush the already comatose housing market. Any rate hike would harm badly the USEconomy from higher cost of loans. The Quantitative Easing policy will remain in place until the USGovt debt default occurs. No buyers of any critical mass exist to purchase USTreasury Bonds. The USFed has been purchasing at least 80% of USTBonds in new issuance and rollover supply. Foreign buyers are long gone, aghast at the hyper monetary inflation and toxic effect on their banking reserves. They also possess smaller trade surpluses. If the US Fed were to halt the purchases of US TBonds, the pressures on the Interest Rate Swap machinery would break it quickly in a matter of one to two months. The result would be long-term bond yields rising to the 7% to 8% or 9% range. The US Fed has no Exit Strategy, never had any Exit Strategy, and will not be granted an Exit Strategy. It is stuck in the monetary corner, totally reliant upon its Weimar printing press, gradually isolated in its US Dollar self-fellatio activity.


The only exit ramp that might be seen is with the US Govt and its deficit finance. The likelihood grows every month for a major oppressive event, where private US pension funds (IRA, 401k, Keough, managed pension, etc) are forced to cover the US Govt deficit in the form of special US Treasury Bonds which also cover a portion of the US Agency Mortgage Bonds. The US citizenry is captive to the desperate whims of the US Govt and its bankrupt condition, sure to dole out desperate policy actions.


The Jackass loves the automatic budget cuts, even if across the board in nature. Whatever it takes to reduce the vast USGovt bureaucracy and vast military establishment is wonderful and welcome. The fear tactics have already reached a fever pitch, with recited calls for long airline delays and cuts to the welfare morass that includes Social Security and Medicare. The point must be made that even the first round of cuts will be only $85 billion for the fiscal year ending September 30th. That is minor compared to the overall $3.8 trillion bloated budget, as in $3800 billion. It is a trifling amount in proposed cuts from the sequestered route, only 2.2% of the total bloated budget. The pain comes from the budget cuts arriving at a time of chronic recession that dogs the US Economy. The marginal effects will be certain, but the movement to reduce the size of the US Govt is in a good direction.


The US Govt regularly puts out volumes of requirements and onerous rules for foreign entities to follow and abide by, at their own cost. The US Govt has in the past few years forced a burden on the foreign firms. As a result, the foreign firms have decided on an increasing basis not to incur the cost, not to support the staff, and not to deal with the nuisance. They do not hate the US citizen. They despise the US Govt and its sprawling imperial over-reach.


This is difficult to answer with any measure of certainty. But indications have been made by credible parties that the Vatican is soon to be exposed for some truly devious pernicious scummy banking relationships that involve big banks like JPMorgan and various central banks. The big corrupt US bank has managed the Vatican gold account for decades. Imagine the cross traffic from the brisk Afghan narcotics money laundering activity. More clearly, the Vatican is embroiled in narcotics money laundering at its primary bank. It is difficult to confirm, but the Jackass doubts that God approves of any activity on usage or finance related to heroine and cocaine. The Vatican apparently is soon to be subjected to a new financial audit. The recently appointed German lawyer Ernst von Freyberg will be the new president of its bank, filling a post left vacant since May when a financial scandal involving narcotics money laundering with Roman banks tainted the institution for the umpteenth time. The appointment was made by a commission of Cardinals and approved by Pope Benedict before his departure was announced, now final. The bank’s formal name is a total joke, the Institute for Works of Religion. Plenty of other reports swirl about an intolerance for certain sexual rituals by the Vatican bankers that the current pope has no more patience for. Benedict has laid a trap. There are two chambers to the Vatican, the College of Cardinals and the Jesuit Bankers. The former pledges fealty and devotion to the Prince of Light with active ceremonies. The latter pledges fealty and devotion to the Prince of Darkness with active rituals.


In no way are the London and New York bankers in control. They are reacting to events. Their many structures are fast crumbling. Their bond markets are held up by paper emissions in ever increasing volumes. Their currencies are at war with each other, not simply competition. Their banks are grotesquely insolvent, kept afloat by direct monetary inflation, open state welfare, and oppressive taxes. The central banks are stuck in the ZIRP corner with only QE as an option, otherwise known as dead money and hyper monetary inflation. Weimar is alive and vigorous on its destructive rampage. The global trade settlement system is making steady progress in a non-US Dollar alternative, which will strip the United States of the global currency reserve privilege, abused to the hilt. The trade finance structure will gradually revert to the Gold Standard, and from that firm position, dictate banking policy. The bankers of the future will be those who own Gold & Silver, which will rise to $5000 per ounce and $250 per ounce respectively, probably more suddenly than even the gold community comprehends or anticipates.

  1. Pingback: Mortgage Lenders Plan to Increase Fixed Rate Mortgages

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>