With the Fed continuing to ramp down its QE programme, a bearish technical set up, and a lack of CPI inflation, the outlook for gold is bearish, and therefore gold is still likely to go to $1,000 before it goes to $2,000.
Since reaching an all-time high of 1,687.18 on 22 May the S&P 500 has established a downtrend which so far has seen the index fall 4.7%. This article shows the new trend in the major US stock average and examines two potential short candidates that could take advantage of the new market downtrend.
In the last few weeks many of the companies within the solar sector experienced terrific rallies that ended in a mini-blow-off top. However, the long-term picture shows an industry that is recovering from a long bear market and has now broken out of a major basing pattern.
The article ‘Energy sector provides decent trading opportunity’, published last week, outlined a potential trading opportunity in the energy sector ETF XLE. The fund had broken out above a key resistance level and established a well defined uptrend. Now however, the fund has begun to advance strongly and it’s time to safe-guard our profit.
The energy sector within the S&P has just broken out above previous resistance, and the technical setup suggests that it now provides a decent trading opportunity with a defined exit point should the trade fail to work out.
Having dropped 44.8% from its all-time high on 21 September 2012 Apple encountered major support in mid-April at around $380. Since then the stock’s advance has been capped at around $466. However, if it can breakout decisively above this level it could be potentially very bullish for the stock which is already attracting both value and income investors.
Until last month the technology, materials and industrials sectors within the S&P 500 had been trending down while other sectors such as health care, consumer staples and utilities had been trending up. Now however, the trend appears to be reversing and the sectors that had lagged behind are breaking out to new highs, something which presents a buying opportunity for traders and investors.
Yesterday’s article focused on an intermediate term trend following trading strategy that makes use of both trend channel analysis (TCA), and moving averages. Today’s article applies the same trend following principals to shorter-term market movements, and looks at possible trading opportunities that exist right now.
The words “perfect trading strategy” will mean different things to different people. In this article however, the perfect trading strategy is one that combines a systematic, rules based approach with strict risk management. This article explores these elements and searches for possible trading opportunities.
This regular column reviews the condition of several different markets. This week’s column examines the chart pattern that has formed in crude oil, the best performing sector in the S&P 500 (the financials), and the powerful uptrends that exist within the Wilshire 5000 and the Nikkei.
Over the past five years the price of a gallon of gasoline in the US has formed a series of lower highs and higher lows. In doing so this vital commodity has traced out a large triangle pattern that could provide a profitable trade.
Over the next few years the demand for platinum for use in jewellery, auto, and other industries, is expected to continue to rise. Meanwhile, thanks to political uncertainty, declining ore grades and escalating production costs, supplies continue to fall. This creates a potential opportunity for investors.
Since reaching a peak of 1.855 in early October 2012 the price of coffee has fallen more than 23%. Last week however, coffee broke out of a multi-month Falling Wedge trading pattern which could signal a reversal of this downtrend and could provide a profitable trade.
In a world where government deficits are rising, interest rates are at record lows, central banks are printing money, unemployment remains stubbornly high, and bank deposits are being raided to rescue insolvent banks, it is hard to believe that gold and silver have fallen so sharply. In this environment the only thing that makes sense is Trend Following.